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Stock dropped 24% due to warrant detachment and resulting share dilution. The company carries significant debt ($80B net debt vs. $11.2B EBITDA), creating a highly leveraged risk profile. Forward EV/EBITDA of 10x is not attractive given the risk.
The 28.5% stock price decline is a technical restructuring event (warrant dividend) rather than a reflection of deteriorating business fundamentals. Shareholders who received warrants experienced no net loss, as the warrant value compensates for the stock price reduction. The underlying concerns about $78.9 billion in pro forma net debt remain unchanged from the previous day.
Skydance faces significant headwinds with approximately $80 billion in debt from the Paramount-Warner Bros. Discovery merger, regulatory settlement restrictions requiring 30 theatrical films annually, and challenges turning profitable. Stock expected to struggle to outperform the market through 2030.
Despite $70 billion in revenue, Skydance faces significant headwinds: $82 billion debt load with $6.4 billion annual interest expense, $2.6 billion operating loss in 2025, and only $172 million operating income in H1 2026. High debt limits pricing flexibility and competitive maneuvering.
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